07 Nov 2024
EC Market Trends 2024: Price Growth and Investment Insights
Property Insight

Executive Condominiums (ECs) represent a unique segment in Singapore's housing market, appealing to both first-time buyers and upgraders due to their blend of public and private housing features and relative affordability. These hybrid developments have shown steady price growth, driven primarily by limited supply and strategic regulatory frameworks. For example, EC developers are only allowed to begin sales 15 months after securing a site or once foundation works are completed, whichever is sooner. This strategy helps prevent oversupply and supports price stability, ensuring ECs remain a resilient asset class.

Over the past few years, the pricing landscape for ECs has transformed. In 2022, the average price for new ECs stood at $1,329 per square foot (psf). This rose to $1,406 psf in 2023, marking a year-on-year increase of 5.8%. In the first nine months of 2024, the average price reached $1,460 psf, reflecting a more moderate 3.8% rise. These upward trends underscore the high demand for ECs, particularly among young families and upgraders seeking a bridge between public and private housing with long-term value potential.

Demand for ECs remains robust, as evidenced by impressive take-up rates in recent launches. For instance, Altura, introduced in the third quarter of 2023, reached a 95.8% sales rate. Similarly, Lumina Grand, launched in the first quarter of 2024, achieved 83.2% sales. This strong buyer interest reflects a willingness to invest at higher price points, particularly in developments that boast strategic locations and lifestyle amenities. In 2024, half of the EC units sold ranged between $1,500 and $1,600 psf, highlighting buyers' confidence in the value of these projects.

The resale EC market has also gained momentum, particularly for older ECs that have attained privatized status. Units that are over ten years old saw significant price increases, with the average price rising by 15.5% year-on-year to $1,171 psf in 2024. In comparison, newer resale ECs saw a more moderate price increase of 5.7%. Some projects, like The Dew, recorded an impressive 20.2% increase, which may be attributed to nearby new launches and proximity to popular schools. This trend emphasizes the appeal of matured ECs, especially as they become available to a broader pool of potential buyers.

In recent quarters, the price gap between new and resale ECs has narrowed, reflecting a difference of only 6.9% by the third quarter of 2024. Contributing factors include the limited supply of new ECs and the five-year Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) requirement before resale. This narrowing gap presents ECs as a structured, appealing investment, with the potential for value appreciation as they transition to full privatization.

New developments, like Novo Place at Tengah New Town, continue to attract buyer interest. Positioned near the upcoming Jurong Region Line MRT station, Novo Place benefits from enhanced connectivity and strategic location. Given the limited EC supply and successful launches in nearby areas, this development is likely to generate significant interest among potential buyers.

Overall, ECs have maintained their position as a desirable housing choice within Singapore’s real estate market. Their unique status, regulatory-backed supply alignment, and consistent demand from both new and resale markets ensure ECs remain attractive to buyers. Combining affordability, strategic location, and capital appreciation potential, ECs present an enduring appeal for many Singaporeans.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg  

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15 Jan 2025
December 2024 Sees Year-on-Year Growth in Private Home Sales

Residual momentum from November's robust developer sales activity carried into December 2024, a typically quieter month for real estate transactions. Developers sold 203 new residential units (excluding Executive Condominiums or ECs), a significant 92.1% month-on-month moderation from November's revised figure of 2,560 units. The moderation can be attributed to seasonal factors, such as the festive period and year-end school holidays, which usually see reduced market activity. 

Despite the lower monthly figures, December 2024 reflected a marked improvement year-on-year, with a 50.4% increase in units sold compared to December 2023. This represents the strongest December sales since 2021, underlining recovering buyer confidence amid stabilizing market conditions. A key contributor to this outcome was the carry-over effect from November's strong sales momentum, sustaining interest even during the traditionally subdued holiday season.

Novo Place, an EC project, led December’s sales with 158 units sold at a median price of $1,647 per square foot (psf), highlighting the sustained appeal of ECs, particularly among first-time buyers and upgraders. Hillock Green and The Myst followed with 19 and 17 units sold, respectively, demonstrating strong demand for projects in the Outside Central Region (OCR). The Myst developers strategically released units in December, capturing buyer interest during a quieter period and maintaining market focus on their project.

Developers are optimistic about early 2025, with anticipated launches like The Orie, Bagnall Haus, and The Collective at One Sophia expected to drive increased activity. These projects are strategically positioned ahead of Chinese New Year to capture market momentum, offering diverse options for first-time buyers, upgraders, and investors. As the market transitions into the new year, the alignment of supply and demand is expected to support continued recovery and buyer interest.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

 

Property Insight
15 Jan 2025
GLS Tender Analysis: Future Residential Developments in Bukit Panjang and Tengah

The tender results for the Government Land Sales (GLS) sites at Dairy Farm Walk and Tengah Garden Avenue underscore competitive bidding and robust market interest.

Dairy Farm Walk:

The top bid for this residential site was $504.5 million, translating to $1,020 psf ppr, by a consortium including SNC2 Realty Pte. Ltd. This bid outperformed the second-highest offer by 23.1%, highlighting a strong commitment to develop in the area. Recent GLS projects, such as Dairy Farm Residences and The Botany at Dairy Farm, have shown exceptional sales performance, with nearly 100% unit sales, reflecting high demand in the Bukit Panjang planning area.

The location’s appeal stems from its access to natural spaces, proximity to Dairy Farm Mall, reputable schools, and connectivity to Hillview and Cashew MRT stations. 

Tengah Garden Avenue:

The site, intended for residential use with commercial space on the first floor, received a top bid of $675 million ($821 psf ppr) from a joint venture between Intrepid Investments, CSC Land Group, and GuocoLand. The narrow margin of 0.7% above the second-highest bid underscores intense competition for this pioneering project in Tengah.

This marks Tengah’s first private condominium development, benefiting from a first-mover advantage in Singapore’s inaugural smart and sustainable town. This development is expected to appeal to buyers who value exclusivity, unlike Executive Condominiums (ECs) that face eligibility restrictions. Proximity to the Hong Kah MRT station and integration with Jurong Region Line connectivity enhances its attractiveness, alongside its strategic location near Jurong's second Central Business District.

Both sites represent promising opportunities in Singapore’s evolving residential landscape, reflecting strategic planning and strong buyer interest in suburban and emerging areas.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

 

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Singapore's Shophouse Market Trends and Outlook for 2025

Freehold shophouse properties dominated the shophouse market in 2024, representing 69.4% of transactions. These properties remain highly sought after for their perpetual ownership and long-term security. Properties with 999-year leasehold tenure accounted for 18.1%, while 99-year leaseholds constituted 12.5% of transactions, highlighting varied investor interests.

District 8 led shophouse transactions with 33 deals, emphasizing its appeal due to its central location and vibrant commercial activities. Other notable districts included District 14 with eight transactions and Districts 1 and 2 with five transactions each, underscoring sustained demand in strategically located areas.

The rental market also showed strength, with total rental value rising from $34.9 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to $37.7 million during the same period in 2024, marking an 8.2% year-on-year growth. This increase reflects robust demand for shophouses as versatile commercial spaces, bolstered by their charm and strategic locations.

Tourism recovery played a pivotal role in boosting the market. International visitor arrivals surged from 12.4 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to 15.1 million in the same period in 2024, a 22.3% increase. This growth supported sectors like accommodation, retail, and F&B, further driving demand for commercial shophouse spaces.

Looking ahead to 2025, the shophouse market is poised for sustained growth. Factors such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Singapore's strong global connectivity, and its positioning as a global business hub are expected to support investor confidence. The enduring appeal of conservation properties, coupled with the continued momentum in tourism, will likely bolster demand. These dynamics position the shophouse segment as a robust and attractive asset class within Singapore’s commercial property market.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg