SRI - Singapore Realtors Inc.

26 Jul 2024

URA Insights: 2Q2024 Trends in the Private Property Market

Property Insight

The private property market in Singapore exhibited mixed dynamics in the first half of 2024, according to the latest quarterly statistics.

New Home Sales Overview: New home sales in Q2 2024 moderated to 725 units, the lowest since Q4 2022, due to a reduced number of project launches which totalled only 634 units. The correlation between the lack of significant launches and decreased sales figures points to a strategic delay by developers, possibly aiming to optimize market conditions by spacing out project releases.

Performance by Region: The Outside Central Region (OCR) defied the broader slowdown, accounting for 65.5% of the total new home sales in the first half of 2024, marking a significant increase and the highest share since the first half of 2021. This surge in OCR underscores ongoing demand for properties in these locales, despite overall market moderation.

Top Selling Projects: "The Botany At Dairy Farm" led the sales in Q2 with 86 units sold at a median price of $1,994 per square foot, followed by "Hillhaven" with 63 units. The success of these projects has not only highlighted the enduring appeal of the OCR but also stimulated sales in neighboring developments, showcasing a dynamic market where the success of one project can uplift surrounding ones.

Private Resale Market: Contrasting with the new home segment, the resale market thrived, with a 41.4% quarter-over-quarter increase in transactions in Q2, reaching the highest level since Q2 2022. This rise is attributed to recently completed developments and relaunched projects at appealing price points, which have drawn significant buyer interest.

Notable Trends in Resale Segment: Developments like "Treasure at Tampines" and "The Residences at W Singapore Sentosa Cove" saw heightened activity, suggesting that the market for resale properties remains vibrant and responsive to quality offerings. This trend is likely to continue, driven by the availability of units completed in the previous year and compelling pricing strategies.

Market Outlook: Looking ahead, the anticipation of new project launches in the second half of 2024 is expected to reinvigorate the new home sales market.

Click here for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

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December 2024 Sees Year-on-Year Growth in Private Home Sales

Residual momentum from November's robust developer sales activity carried into December 2024, a typically quieter month for real estate transactions. Developers sold 203 new residential units (excluding Executive Condominiums or ECs), a significant 92.1% month-on-month moderation from November's revised figure of 2,560 units. The moderation can be attributed to seasonal factors, such as the festive period and year-end school holidays, which usually see reduced market activity.

Despite the lower monthly figures, December 2024 reflected a marked improvement year-on-year, with a 50.4% increase in units sold compared to December 2023. This represents the strongest December sales since 2021, underlining recovering buyer confidence amid stabilizing market conditions. A key contributor to this outcome was the carry-over effect from November's strong sales momentum, sustaining interest even during the traditionally subdued holiday season.

Novo Place, an EC project, led December’s sales with 158 units sold at a median price of $1,647 per square foot (psf), highlighting the sustained appeal of ECs, particularly among first-time buyers and upgraders. Hillock Green and The Myst followed with 19 and 17 units sold, respectively, demonstrating strong demand for projects in the Outside Central Region (OCR). The Myst developers strategically released units in December, capturing buyer interest during a quieter period and maintaining market focus on their project.

Developers are optimistic about early 2025, with anticipated launches like The Orie, Bagnall Haus, and The Collective at One Sophia expected to drive increased activity. These projects are strategically positioned ahead of Chinese New Year to capture market momentum, offering diverse options for first-time buyers, upgraders, and investors. As the market transitions into the new year, the alignment of supply and demand is expected to support continued recovery and buyer interest.

Click

here

for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

GLS Tender Analysis: Future Residential Developments in Bukit Panjang and Tengah

The tender results for the Government Land Sales (GLS) sites at Dairy Farm Walk and Tengah Garden Avenue underscore competitive bidding and robust market interest.

Dairy Farm Walk:

The top bid for this residential site was $504.5 million, translating to $1,020 psf ppr, by a consortium including SNC2 Realty Pte. Ltd. This bid outperformed the second-highest offer by 23.1%, highlighting a strong commitment to develop in the area. Recent GLS projects, such as Dairy Farm Residences and The Botany at Dairy Farm, have shown exceptional sales performance, with nearly 100% unit sales, reflecting high demand in the Bukit Panjang planning area.

The location’s appeal stems from its access to natural spaces, proximity to Dairy Farm Mall, reputable schools, and connectivity to Hillview and Cashew MRT stations.

Tengah Garden Avenue:

The site, intended for residential use with commercial space on the first floor, received a top bid of $675 million ($821 psf ppr) from a joint venture between Intrepid Investments, CSC Land Group, and GuocoLand. The narrow margin of 0.7% above the second-highest bid underscores intense competition for this pioneering project in Tengah.

This marks Tengah’s first private condominium development, benefiting from a first-mover advantage in Singapore’s inaugural smart and sustainable town. This development is expected to appeal to buyers who value exclusivity, unlike Executive Condominiums (ECs) that face eligibility restrictions. Proximity to the Hong Kah MRT station and integration with Jurong Region Line connectivity enhances its attractiveness, alongside its strategic location near Jurong's second Central Business District.

Both sites represent promising opportunities in Singapore’s evolving residential landscape, reflecting strategic planning and strong buyer interest in suburban and emerging areas.

Click

here

for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore's Shophouse Market Trends and Outlook for 2025

Freehold shophouse properties dominated the shophouse market in 2024, representing 69.4% of transactions. These properties remain highly sought after for their perpetual ownership and long-term security. Properties with 999-year leasehold tenure accounted for 18.1%, while 99-year leaseholds constituted 12.5% of transactions, highlighting varied investor interests.

District 8 led shophouse transactions with 33 deals, emphasizing its appeal due to its central location and vibrant commercial activities. Other notable districts included District 14 with eight transactions and Districts 1 and 2 with five transactions each, underscoring sustained demand in strategically located areas.

The rental market also showed strength, with total rental value rising from $34.9 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to $37.7 million during the same period in 2024, marking an 8.2% year-on-year growth. This increase reflects robust demand for shophouses as versatile commercial spaces, bolstered by their charm and strategic locations.

Tourism recovery played a pivotal role in boosting the market. International visitor arrivals surged from 12.4 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to 15.1 million in the same period in 2024, a 22.3% increase. This growth supported sectors like accommodation, retail, and F&B, further driving demand for commercial shophouse spaces.

Looking ahead to 2025, the shophouse market is poised for sustained growth. Factors such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Singapore's strong global connectivity, and its positioning as a global business hub are expected to support investor confidence. The enduring appeal of conservation properties, coupled with the continued momentum in tourism, will likely bolster demand. These dynamics position the shophouse segment as a robust and attractive asset class within Singapore’s commercial property market.

Click

here

for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

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