11 Jul 2024
The Luxury Property Market 1H2024 Review & Outlook
Property Insight

Resilient 1H2024 Growth in CCR Non-Landed Property Market

In the first half of 2024, the non-landed property market in the Core Central Region (CCR) showed resilient growth despite a slight moderation in the second quarter. Prices in the CCR adjusted by 0.2% in 2Q2024, following a 3.4% increase in 1Q2024. Overall, non-landed prices in the CCR rose by 3.2% during the first half of 2024, significantly outpacing the 0.8% increase seen in the first half of 2023. This growth was likely driven by an increase in transactions at the $10 million and above price point, highlighting the robustness and potential of the non-landed property sector in the CCR.

Top-Selling New Project Launches in CCR for 1H2024

The best-selling new project launches in the CCR for the first half of 2024 included:

• 19 Nassim: Sold 35 units at a median price of $3,334 per square foot (psf).

• Watten House: Sold 33 units at a median price of $3,246 psf, attributed to its location in a sought-after Good Class Bungalow neighborhood.

• Klimt Cairnhill: Sold 32 units at a median price of $3,402 psf.

• One Bernam: Sold 16 units at a median price of $2,690 psf.

• Enchanté: Sold 9 units at a median price of $2,821 psf.

The scarcity of new project launches within the CCR has fueled a healthy level of interest among buyers and investors.

Skywaters Residences Leads High-Value CCR Launches in 1H2024

High-value new launch condominiums, particularly those priced at $10 million and above, saw notable transactions in 1H2024. Key developments included:

• Skywaters Residences: Achieved a record price of $47.3 million ($6,100 psf) for a unit, setting a new benchmark for luxury living.

• 32 Gilstead: Transacted three units at prices around $14.5 million.

• Watten House: Continued strong performance with units sold around $11.8 to $12.2 million.

These transactions underscore the enduring appeal of premium properties to wealthy foreign investors, with Skywaters Residences capturing significant interest due to its exclusive residential experience and prime location.

Underlying Presence of High-Value Resale Condo Transactions in 1H2024

The resale condominium market in 1H2024 also saw significant transactions, particularly those exceeding the $10 million threshold. Notable transactions included:

• The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore, Cairnhill: Two units sold for $16.5 million each ($5,397 psf).

• St Regis Residences Singapore: Sold a unit for $14 million.

• Hilltops, The Marq On Paterson Hill, Ardmore Park, and 3 Orchard By-The-Park: All saw high-value transactions.

These sales highlight the continued demand for luxury resale properties in prime locations.

Modest Increase in Foreign Purchases of Non-Landed Properties in 2Q2024

Foreign purchases of non-landed properties increased modestly in 2Q2024, rising from 21 units in 1Q2024 to an estimated 45 units. This marks the highest number of units purchased by foreigners since 2Q2023. Despite higher Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates, foreign buyers continue to be significant players in the property market, reflecting the enduring appeal of the CCR segment.

Outlook

The outlook for the CCR market in the second half of 2024 remains cautiously optimistic. The positive performance in the first half, coupled with high-value transactions and gradual growth in foreign buyer interest, suggests a resilient market. Upcoming projects like One Sophia/The Collective at One Sophia are expected to attract significant interest due to their prime locations and excellent accessibility. Investors and buyers are encouraged to stay attentive to market trends and emerging opportunities, particularly in high-value segments. The CCR's premium properties, with their strategic locations and exclusive amenities, are likely to maintain their attractiveness to both local and international buyers.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

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December 2024 Sees Year-on-Year Growth in Private Home Sales

Residual momentum from November's robust developer sales activity carried into December 2024, a typically quieter month for real estate transactions. Developers sold 203 new residential units (excluding Executive Condominiums or ECs), a significant 92.1% month-on-month moderation from November's revised figure of 2,560 units. The moderation can be attributed to seasonal factors, such as the festive period and year-end school holidays, which usually see reduced market activity. 

Despite the lower monthly figures, December 2024 reflected a marked improvement year-on-year, with a 50.4% increase in units sold compared to December 2023. This represents the strongest December sales since 2021, underlining recovering buyer confidence amid stabilizing market conditions. A key contributor to this outcome was the carry-over effect from November's strong sales momentum, sustaining interest even during the traditionally subdued holiday season.

Novo Place, an EC project, led December’s sales with 158 units sold at a median price of $1,647 per square foot (psf), highlighting the sustained appeal of ECs, particularly among first-time buyers and upgraders. Hillock Green and The Myst followed with 19 and 17 units sold, respectively, demonstrating strong demand for projects in the Outside Central Region (OCR). The Myst developers strategically released units in December, capturing buyer interest during a quieter period and maintaining market focus on their project.

Developers are optimistic about early 2025, with anticipated launches like The Orie, Bagnall Haus, and The Collective at One Sophia expected to drive increased activity. These projects are strategically positioned ahead of Chinese New Year to capture market momentum, offering diverse options for first-time buyers, upgraders, and investors. As the market transitions into the new year, the alignment of supply and demand is expected to support continued recovery and buyer interest.

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Prepared By:

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Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

 

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GLS Tender Analysis: Future Residential Developments in Bukit Panjang and Tengah

The tender results for the Government Land Sales (GLS) sites at Dairy Farm Walk and Tengah Garden Avenue underscore competitive bidding and robust market interest.

Dairy Farm Walk:

The top bid for this residential site was $504.5 million, translating to $1,020 psf ppr, by a consortium including SNC2 Realty Pte. Ltd. This bid outperformed the second-highest offer by 23.1%, highlighting a strong commitment to develop in the area. Recent GLS projects, such as Dairy Farm Residences and The Botany at Dairy Farm, have shown exceptional sales performance, with nearly 100% unit sales, reflecting high demand in the Bukit Panjang planning area.

The location’s appeal stems from its access to natural spaces, proximity to Dairy Farm Mall, reputable schools, and connectivity to Hillview and Cashew MRT stations. 

Tengah Garden Avenue:

The site, intended for residential use with commercial space on the first floor, received a top bid of $675 million ($821 psf ppr) from a joint venture between Intrepid Investments, CSC Land Group, and GuocoLand. The narrow margin of 0.7% above the second-highest bid underscores intense competition for this pioneering project in Tengah.

This marks Tengah’s first private condominium development, benefiting from a first-mover advantage in Singapore’s inaugural smart and sustainable town. This development is expected to appeal to buyers who value exclusivity, unlike Executive Condominiums (ECs) that face eligibility restrictions. Proximity to the Hong Kah MRT station and integration with Jurong Region Line connectivity enhances its attractiveness, alongside its strategic location near Jurong's second Central Business District.

Both sites represent promising opportunities in Singapore’s evolving residential landscape, reflecting strategic planning and strong buyer interest in suburban and emerging areas.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

 

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Singapore's Shophouse Market Trends and Outlook for 2025

Freehold shophouse properties dominated the shophouse market in 2024, representing 69.4% of transactions. These properties remain highly sought after for their perpetual ownership and long-term security. Properties with 999-year leasehold tenure accounted for 18.1%, while 99-year leaseholds constituted 12.5% of transactions, highlighting varied investor interests.

District 8 led shophouse transactions with 33 deals, emphasizing its appeal due to its central location and vibrant commercial activities. Other notable districts included District 14 with eight transactions and Districts 1 and 2 with five transactions each, underscoring sustained demand in strategically located areas.

The rental market also showed strength, with total rental value rising from $34.9 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to $37.7 million during the same period in 2024, marking an 8.2% year-on-year growth. This increase reflects robust demand for shophouses as versatile commercial spaces, bolstered by their charm and strategic locations.

Tourism recovery played a pivotal role in boosting the market. International visitor arrivals surged from 12.4 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to 15.1 million in the same period in 2024, a 22.3% increase. This growth supported sectors like accommodation, retail, and F&B, further driving demand for commercial shophouse spaces.

Looking ahead to 2025, the shophouse market is poised for sustained growth. Factors such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Singapore's strong global connectivity, and its positioning as a global business hub are expected to support investor confidence. The enduring appeal of conservation properties, coupled with the continued momentum in tourism, will likely bolster demand. These dynamics position the shophouse segment as a robust and attractive asset class within Singapore’s commercial property market.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg