21 Feb 2024
Entering Landed Property Arena in 2024
Property Insight

In 2024, Singapore's landed property market is poised to experience continued interest and growth, buoyed by its appeal as a symbol of prestige and the unique architectural diversity it offers. The market witnessed a 4.5% increase in the landed property price index in the last quarter of 2023.This uptrend underscores the robust demand for luxury and exclusivity inherent to landed properties, despite the broader economic challenges.

The year 2023 saw remarkable transactions, including a record sale at Chancery Lane and noteworthy acquisition by Sustained Land at Dyson Road,signaling vibrant markets characterized by high-profile deals and a keen interest in redevelopment opportunities.

Despite the introduction of cooling measures aimed at moderating the property market,landed property sales have shown resilience. Historical patterns suggest that sales volumes typically rebound 1 to 2 years following the implementation of such measures, driven by a combination of cautious optimism among buyers and the enduring allure of landed homes.

In 2023, the segment recorded 1,452 transactions, reflecting sustained interest despite higher Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates potentially impacting foreign investment.The stability and perceived security of Singapore's property market continue to attract the ultra-rich, with a particular focus on high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) and new citizens who value the exclusivity and investment potential of landed properties.

Geographically, District 19 emerged as a hotspot with the highest number of transactions in2023, illustrating the diverse appeal of landed properties across Singapore's different districts. The trend of HDB upgraders moving into the landed property segment further exemplifies the aspiration for upscale living, spurred by the increasing number of million-dollar HDB resale transactions.

Good Class Bungalows (GCBs) remain the epitome of luxury living in Singapore, representing the pinnacle of the landed property market. Although transactions within this highly exclusive category saw a decrease in 2023, the market for GCBs is believed to be much more active than reported, given the privacy preferences of buyers and sellers in this elite segment. The ongoing demand for GCBs from HNWIs and new citizens underscores their status as not just luxury homes but as coveted investment opportunities, promising stability and potential appreciation in value.

Looking ahead to 2024, the landed property market is expected to maintain its momentum,with sales volumes projected to range between 1,400 to 1,500 units. This outlook is buoyed by the intrinsic appeal of landed homes as lifestyle investments that offer not only a place of residence but a statement of prosperity and a legacy asset. As Singapore continues to attract global wealth and aspires to maintain its status as a safe haven for property investments, the landed property sector is set to remain a vibrant and integral component of the nation's real estate landscape, offering both challenges and opportunities for buyers, sellers, and investors alike.

Click here for the full report

Prepared By:
Mohan Sandrasegeran
Head of Research & Data Analytics





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Residual momentum from November's robust developer sales activity carried into December 2024, a typically quieter month for real estate transactions. Developers sold 203 new residential units (excluding Executive Condominiums or ECs), a significant 92.1% month-on-month moderation from November's revised figure of 2,560 units. The moderation can be attributed to seasonal factors, such as the festive period and year-end school holidays, which usually see reduced market activity. 

Despite the lower monthly figures, December 2024 reflected a marked improvement year-on-year, with a 50.4% increase in units sold compared to December 2023. This represents the strongest December sales since 2021, underlining recovering buyer confidence amid stabilizing market conditions. A key contributor to this outcome was the carry-over effect from November's strong sales momentum, sustaining interest even during the traditionally subdued holiday season.

Novo Place, an EC project, led December’s sales with 158 units sold at a median price of $1,647 per square foot (psf), highlighting the sustained appeal of ECs, particularly among first-time buyers and upgraders. Hillock Green and The Myst followed with 19 and 17 units sold, respectively, demonstrating strong demand for projects in the Outside Central Region (OCR). The Myst developers strategically released units in December, capturing buyer interest during a quieter period and maintaining market focus on their project.

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GLS Tender Analysis: Future Residential Developments in Bukit Panjang and Tengah

The tender results for the Government Land Sales (GLS) sites at Dairy Farm Walk and Tengah Garden Avenue underscore competitive bidding and robust market interest.

Dairy Farm Walk:

The top bid for this residential site was $504.5 million, translating to $1,020 psf ppr, by a consortium including SNC2 Realty Pte. Ltd. This bid outperformed the second-highest offer by 23.1%, highlighting a strong commitment to develop in the area. Recent GLS projects, such as Dairy Farm Residences and The Botany at Dairy Farm, have shown exceptional sales performance, with nearly 100% unit sales, reflecting high demand in the Bukit Panjang planning area.

The location’s appeal stems from its access to natural spaces, proximity to Dairy Farm Mall, reputable schools, and connectivity to Hillview and Cashew MRT stations. 

Tengah Garden Avenue:

The site, intended for residential use with commercial space on the first floor, received a top bid of $675 million ($821 psf ppr) from a joint venture between Intrepid Investments, CSC Land Group, and GuocoLand. The narrow margin of 0.7% above the second-highest bid underscores intense competition for this pioneering project in Tengah.

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Freehold shophouse properties dominated the shophouse market in 2024, representing 69.4% of transactions. These properties remain highly sought after for their perpetual ownership and long-term security. Properties with 999-year leasehold tenure accounted for 18.1%, while 99-year leaseholds constituted 12.5% of transactions, highlighting varied investor interests.

District 8 led shophouse transactions with 33 deals, emphasizing its appeal due to its central location and vibrant commercial activities. Other notable districts included District 14 with eight transactions and Districts 1 and 2 with five transactions each, underscoring sustained demand in strategically located areas.

The rental market also showed strength, with total rental value rising from $34.9 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to $37.7 million during the same period in 2024, marking an 8.2% year-on-year growth. This increase reflects robust demand for shophouses as versatile commercial spaces, bolstered by their charm and strategic locations.

Tourism recovery played a pivotal role in boosting the market. International visitor arrivals surged from 12.4 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to 15.1 million in the same period in 2024, a 22.3% increase. This growth supported sectors like accommodation, retail, and F&B, further driving demand for commercial shophouse spaces.

Looking ahead to 2025, the shophouse market is poised for sustained growth. Factors such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Singapore's strong global connectivity, and its positioning as a global business hub are expected to support investor confidence. The enduring appeal of conservation properties, coupled with the continued momentum in tourism, will likely bolster demand. These dynamics position the shophouse segment as a robust and attractive asset class within Singapore’s commercial property market.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg