24 Jan 2025
4Q2024 Private Property Market Review: Resale and New Launch Trends
Property Insight

The private property market in 2024 demonstrated significant growth, with both new private home sales and resale transactions recovering strongly, especially in the second half of the year. This resurgence was driven by favorable financial conditions, strategic project launches, and renewed buyer confidence.

Key Market Drivers

Lower interest rates, spurred by a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve, boosted buyer sentiment, reducing borrowing costs and making private properties more accessible. Singapore's robust economic recovery, marked by a 4.0% GDP growth in 2024 compared to 1.1% in 2023, further strengthened confidence. Developers capitalized on this favorable environment by introducing 3,425 new units in 4Q2024, a significant increase from 1,284 units in 3Q2024, catering to pent-up demand with well-timed launches.

A tight supply of new launches in the first half of the year redirected buyer interest toward the resale market, particularly for newly completed properties ready for immediate occupancy. The interplay between new sales and resale markets contributed to a dynamic property landscape.

Resale Market Performance

Private resale transactions reached 14,053 units in 2024, reflecting a 24.0% year-on-year increase and marking the highest annual volume since 2021. HDB upgraders played a pivotal role, with their participation rising by 19.2% to 3,988 units, highlighting the continued demand from families seeking larger and higher-quality homes.

New Private Home Sales

New private home sales totaled 6,469 units in 2024, slightly up from 6,421 units in 2023. The market experienced a strong recovery in 4Q2024, with a 2.3% price index increase, rebounding from a 0.7% contraction in 3Q2024. Developers employed curated pricing strategies and favorable financing options, enabling steady sales and maintaining market optimism.

Price Trends and Cooling Measures

Private property prices grew moderately by 3.9% in 2024, compared to 6.8% in 2023, reflecting a stabilization amid tighter borrowing conditions and ongoing government cooling measures. These measures, including higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates, effectively curbed speculative demand, ensuring more sustainable growth.

Outlook for 2025

The private property market is projected to maintain stability in 2025. New private home sales are expected to range between 7,000 and 8,000 units, supported by strategic launches and favorable buyer sentiment. Resale transactions are forecasted to reach 14,000 to 15,000 units, with reduced private residential completions moderating supply and driving competition for ready-to-move-in properties.

Private property prices are projected to grow by 3.0% to 6.0% in 2025, underpinned by limited supply and demand from upgraders. Buyers are encouraged to remain cautious, avoiding over-leveraging and considering long-term affordability.

In summary, the private property market in 2024 showcased resilience and growth, fueled by favorable conditions and strategic developer actions. With a balanced outlook for 2025, the market is well-positioned to adapt to evolving economic dynamics and maintain its appeal as a stable investment destination.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg  

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Kingsford Group Submits Top Bid for Lentor Gardens GLS Site

Kingsford Huray Development Pte Ltd submitted the winning bid of $429.2 million for the Lentor Gardens Government Land Sales (GLS) site, translating to $920 psf per plot ratio (psf ppr). This narrowly edged out the second bid of $905 psf ppr by just 1.7%, reflecting a competitive stance and long-term confidence in the site’s potential. Despite attracting only two bids, the results underscore that interest in Lentor remains firm, with developers taking a more measured approach amid prevailing market conditions.

The Lentor precinct has seen rapid transformation in recent years, progressively evolving into a vibrant residential hub. Developments such as Lentor Mansion, Lentoria, Lentor Hills Residences, and Hillock Green have collectively shaped a new housing cluster. The strong performance of Lentor Central Residences, with a 93% sales rate on launch weekend, further reinforces confidence that sensibly priced and well-positioned projects can still achieve good take-up.

One of Lentor’s key appeals lies in its suburban tranquillity paired with urban convenience. This is enhanced by the improving connectivity via Lentor MRT (Thomson-East Coast Line), proximity to schools, and access to nature. As infrastructure and amenities grow, the area is becoming a go-to option for families seeking modern housing in the northern region of Singapore.

Despite limited participation, the Lentor Gardens tender result is a signal that developers are still monitoring the precinct closely. Lentor’s steady evolution and growing popularity suggest that this area will remain on the radar of both homebuyers and investors. As the estate matures, Lentor’s transformation into a modern residential enclave underscores its potential to deliver quality homes that blend comfort, convenience, and connectivity.

Click

here

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

 

Property Insight
02 Apr 2025
URA & HDB 1Q2025 Flash Estimates Signal Stable Market Conditions

In the private property sector, the price index rose by 0.6% in 1Q2025, moderating from the 2.3% growth observed in 4Q2024. This increase reflects a steady, yet disciplined demand environment supported by a stream of new launches such as The Orie, Elta, Parktown Residence, etc. These developments, spanning the Core Central Region (CCR), Rest of Central Region (RCR), and Outside Central Region (OCR), have appealed to a broad spectrum of buyers including upgraders, owner-occupiers, and long-term investors.

Notably, the RCR and OCR segments remained price-resilient thanks to a healthy flow of project launches. In contrast, the CCR experienced more subdued price movements due to limited new launches, although the debut of One Marina Gardens is expected to support future recovery. The strategic rollout of sites from the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme continues to maintain a stable absorption rate, preventing supply shocks while ensuring adequate buyer choice.

On the public housing front, the HDB resale market saw a moderated price increase of 1.5% in 1Q2025, following a stronger 2.6% growth in 4Q2024. The recalibration reflects the impact of expanding supply and evolving affordability measures. A key contributor was the significant Build-To-Order (BTO) and concurrent Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) exercise in the first quarter, which saw the launch of 5,032 BTO flats and 5,590 SBF flats. Of particular note, 4 in 10 units in the SBF launch were already completed, offering quicker move-in timelines and attracting strong interest from buyers.

The latest SBF exercise was the largest since November 2020, and ongoing policy enhancements—such as increased second-timer quotas, the expansion of the Deferred Income Assessment scheme, and the Family Care Scheme—have further improved access and affordability.

Going forward, over 50,000 new flats will be launched across Singapore over the next three years in areas like Woodlands, Bayshore, and Mount Pleasant. In 2025 alone, about 3,800 BTO flats with waiting times under three years will be rolled out, providing attractive alternatives to the resale market. These efforts are expected to ease demand pressures and ensure broader accessibility.

Together, these market trends highlight a well-calibrated approach toward ensuring sustainable housing development, balancing market demand with strategic supply enhancements in both the private and public segments.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

 

Property Insight
28 Mar 2025
Retail Property Market 2025: Trends Shaping Investor Strategies

Singapore's retail landscape demonstrated resilience in 2024, underpinned by a sharp rebound in international visitor arrivals and strategic investor activity. Visitor arrivals surged by 21.5%, growing from 13.6 million in 2023 to 16.5 million in 2024, with strong contributions from Mainland China, Indonesia, and India. This growth was fueled by a robust calendar of high-profile events—including concerts by global artists like Taylor Swift, Ed Sheeran, and Coldplay, as well as the Formula 1 Singapore Grand Prix and Singapore Art Week—which bolstered tourism-related sectors like retail and hospitality.

Retail property transactions in 2024 moderated slightly, registering approximately 250 caveated transactions compared to 272 in 2023. Despite this moderation, District 7 (Middle Road/Golden Mile) emerged as the top-performing district with 52 transactions. This reflects investor confidence tied to the transformation of the Golden Mile Complex into The Golden Mile, integrating retail, office, and medical suites alongside the upcoming Aurea residential tower. Districts 14 (Geylang, Eunos) and 9 (Orchard, River Valley) followed with 35 and 32 transactions, respectively, underscoring demand for strategically located and historically stable commercial zones.

From a project perspective, Parklane Shopping Mall led with 12 transacted retail units, indicating sustained interest in older, strata-titled developments with flexible configurations. Far East Plaza and Sim Lim Square also recorded strong activity, each with 10 units transacted, appealing to niche businesses and tourist-centric trades.

Notably, City Developments Limited’s acquisition of Delfi Orchard for S$439 million highlighted institutional interest in Orchard Road’s rejuvenation. Other high-value deals included transactions along Irrawaddy Road, North Bridge Road, and Beach Road—signaling a preference for prime, high-footfall locations.

The leasing market also improved, with total retail rental value rising by 2.7% year-on-year from $254.5 million in 2023 to $261.2 million in 2024. Median rentals held firm across multiple regions, with the North and North-East regions commanding premium rates. Fringe and Central Areas also experienced rental recovery, reflecting sustained demand in key retail corridors.

Looking ahead to 2025, Singapore's retail sector is poised for continued growth. The Singapore Tourism Board projects 17.0 to 18.5 million visitors, generating up to $30.5 billion in tourism receipts. This optimism is supported by new attractions such as Illumination’s Minion Land at Universal Studios Singapore and the Disney Adventure Cruise Line, both expected to draw significant regional traffic.

Retail will also benefit from a vibrant MICE calendar, bringing in high-spending business travelers. Experiential retail, the integration of physical and digital commerce, and evolving consumer expectations will continue to shape leasing and investment trends. While external risks such as geopolitical uncertainties and macroeconomic fluctuations persist, the sector remains anchored by Singapore’s strong fundamentals, diversified tourism base, and investor confidence in well-located assets.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg

  

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