28 Nov 2024
Navigating Singapore’s HDB Resale Market: Key Insights for 2025
Property Insight

Transformative Developments in 2024

The year 2024 marked significant progress for Singapore’s public housing sector, driven by initiatives promoting market stability and affordability. Key measures included reducing the Loan-to-Value (LTV) limit for HDB loans from 80% to 75% to curb speculative borrowing, while the Enhanced CPF Housing Grant (EHG) was raised to offer greater support for first-time homebuyers, with eligible families now receiving up to $230,000 in grants. These steps aim to ensure affordability and equity in housing.

New BTO Classification Framework

The October 2024 Build-To-Order (BTO) exercise introduced a new classification system:

• Standard Flats (58%): Majority supply, catering to broad public demand.

• Plus Flats (38%): Located in desirable areas, offering enhanced subsidies but subject to stricter resale conditions.

• Prime Flats (4%): Exclusive supply in central areas with tight resale restrictions to ensure affordability.

This framework seeks to balance affordability, choice, and market inclusivity, creating a stratified housing market with distinct resale conditions for each flat type.

Drivers of Million-Dollar Resale Flats

In 2024, newer flats, particularly those completed from 2013 onwards, drove the bulk of the million-dollar HDB transactions. Their popularity stems from modern designs, prime locations near transport and commercial hubs, and longer lease terms. Proximity to amenities, high floors, and well-maintained conditions are additional factors commanding premium prices.

Outlook for HDB Resale Market in 2025

The number of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) in 2025 is expected to decline by 41.6% to approximately 6,976 units, compared to 11,952 in 2024. The composition includes:

• 4-room flats (38.3%): High demand from families.

• 2-room Flexi flats (27.2%): Popular among singles and seniors.

• 3-Gen flats (1.9%): Sought after by multi-generational families.

Punggol leads as the largest source of MOP-eligible flats, with strong resale potential due to proximity to Northshore Plaza and waterfront living amenities. However, many homeowners may choose not to sell immediately post-MOP, valuing proximity to schools, amenities, and family.

The report highlights the evolving dynamics of the HDB market, emphasizing the government’s role in fostering a sustainable, inclusive, and equitable housing landscape.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg  

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Despite the lower monthly figures, December 2024 reflected a marked improvement year-on-year, with a 50.4% increase in units sold compared to December 2023. This represents the strongest December sales since 2021, underlining recovering buyer confidence amid stabilizing market conditions. A key contributor to this outcome was the carry-over effect from November's strong sales momentum, sustaining interest even during the traditionally subdued holiday season.

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Prepared By:

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Dairy Farm Walk:

The top bid for this residential site was $504.5 million, translating to $1,020 psf ppr, by a consortium including SNC2 Realty Pte. Ltd. This bid outperformed the second-highest offer by 23.1%, highlighting a strong commitment to develop in the area. Recent GLS projects, such as Dairy Farm Residences and The Botany at Dairy Farm, have shown exceptional sales performance, with nearly 100% unit sales, reflecting high demand in the Bukit Panjang planning area.

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Tengah Garden Avenue:

The site, intended for residential use with commercial space on the first floor, received a top bid of $675 million ($821 psf ppr) from a joint venture between Intrepid Investments, CSC Land Group, and GuocoLand. The narrow margin of 0.7% above the second-highest bid underscores intense competition for this pioneering project in Tengah.

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Prepared By:

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mohan@sri.com.sg

 

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Tourism recovery played a pivotal role in boosting the market. International visitor arrivals surged from 12.4 million in the first 11 months of 2023 to 15.1 million in the same period in 2024, a 22.3% increase. This growth supported sectors like accommodation, retail, and F&B, further driving demand for commercial shophouse spaces.

Looking ahead to 2025, the shophouse market is poised for sustained growth. Factors such as anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Singapore's strong global connectivity, and its positioning as a global business hub are expected to support investor confidence. The enduring appeal of conservation properties, coupled with the continued momentum in tourism, will likely bolster demand. These dynamics position the shophouse segment as a robust and attractive asset class within Singapore’s commercial property market.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg